Showing posts with label Triathlon/Ironman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Triathlon/Ironman. Show all posts

Sunday, October 15, 2017

Kona power meter usage trends: 2009 to 2017

Update for 2017 based on the Lava Magazine bike count data. Previous posts links showing trend data up to 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016 are here:



This chart shows the trend in relative usage of power meters since 2009, along with the total number of bikes (click  on images to see larger versions):



Here are the numbers. Data in order of year of introduction.:




In the nine years of this data being available, power meter usage has risen from 17.3% of all bikes to 58.7% of all bikes, although the growth slowed  this year, and was well below the longer term trend of an increase of 5.5 percentage points per year.


Finally the year on year change data and order ranking:


Not too much change to report compared with last year.

Stages is the big loser this year with the largest fall in both overall numbers and in relative share, dropping one ranking place from 4th to 5th most commonly used meter at Kona.

For another view, DC Rainmaker has this year done a similar analysis.

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Monday, October 10, 2016

Kona power meter usage trends: 2009 to 2016

Update for 2016 based on the Lava Magazine bike count data. Previous posts links showing trend data up to 2013, 2014 and 2015 are here:

http://alex-cycle.blogspot.com.au/2013/10/power-meter-usage-on-rise-at-kona.html
http://alex-cycle.blogspot.com.au/2014/10/power-meter-usage-still-on-rise-at-kona.html
http://alex-cycle.blogspot.com.au/2015/10/kona-power-meter-usage-trends-2009-to.html

Here are the numbers for 2009 through to 2016 (click  on images to see larger versions):



And below is the breakdown showing proportion of bikes with and without power meters, and the split for each power meter as a proportion of all bikes. e.g. the slice of pie for the Powertap is 175 Powertap power meters which is 7.9% of the 2,229 bikes in the the Kona bike count.



2016 continued the long term trend of an increase in use of power meters by Kona IM athletes, and for the first time ever a majority of bikes (57.4%) were fitted with a power meter.

So the pie is getting bigger for all power meter manufacturers. at least as a share of Kona athletes. How indicative these numbers are of broader power meter trends is hard to say.

So how are they all doing as a share of that increasing Kona power meter pie slice?

Below are the year on year trends, ranked by total share of power meters:


Quarq and Garmin Vector maintained their lead as the most used power meters and like most brands each saw a small increase in their share of the total power meter pie. However their relative share of the bikes fitted with power meters took a hit with Quarq dropping 3.4% to 23.7% and Garmin Vector down 3.0%, to 17.8%. These were the biggest falls in relative share of all the major power meter brands. While this continues Quarq's trend from the previous year of a decline while still maintaining top place, it's a reversal of fortunes for Garmin Vector who showed strong year of year relative share growth last year.

The big mover up the rankings was Powertap which like most brands improved its share of all bikes but more importantly their share of bikes fitted with a power meter was up 6.4% to 13.7%  (nearly doubling their 2015 share). This is no doubt due to the introduction of Powertap's new power meter models, in particular the P1 pedal based meter, which complements their well established hub-based and new C1 chain ring-based power meters.

This reversed the trend in recent years for Powertap, whose numbers were probably a little under represented as the Powertap hub is the one that most likely to be used as a training wheel for some athletes but not as a race day wheel. Unfortunately the Lava Magazine data does not parse the Powertap data into model sub-categories so we can't know exactly the trends for each model, however the pedal count shows 82 bikes with Powertap P1s, which means hubs and chainrings (if any) make up the 93 remaining Powertap models. In 2015 Powertap hubs numbered just 78 units.

Rotor and Pioneer also saw their share of all bikes and all power meters improve, although from a smaller base.

Stages share of the Kona power meter pie has stabilised after strong growth from 2014 to 2015, with a slight drop in their relative share of power meters.

Power2Max is declining in their relative share of power meters used at Kona and this is the second year they have experienced such a decline.

SRM continues its slow drop in relative share on all bikes and of those fitted with a power meter.

A few new power meter brands make a guest appearance but none have really exploded onto the Kona scene.

Overall observations

These numbers continue the broad trends of previous few years:

i. Power meter usage as a proportion of all bikes used at Kona continues to rise at a rate of nearly 6% year on year. This has been a consistent trend since 2009. If the trend continues, we should expect that in 2017, approximately 63% of all bikes will be fitted with power meters.

ii. Most growth in usage comes from newer power meter models.
For 2016 the majority of growth came from Powertap with 45% of the growth, Rotor 21% and Stages 11%, with the rest making up the remaining quarter of the growth (SRM being the only model with negative growth).

iii. after an initial period of growth, models tend to stabilise their Kona athlete market share for a year or so before beginning a gradual decline in share

iv. no power meter model dominates Kona athlete market share. Quarq maintains its place as the lead choice being fitted to 23.7% of bikes with power meters.

Some caveats:
- obviously this is a sample of athletes that qualified and participated in Kona and hence we can't simply project these trends as necessarily being representative of the overall market.

- the  athletes that qualify obviously changes from year to year.

OK, so that's the latest on power meter usage trends from Kona. See you in 2017!

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Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Kona power meter usage trends: 2009 to 2015

Update for 2015 based on the Lava Magazine bike count data. Previous posts links showing trend data up to 2013 and 2014 are here:

http://alex-cycle.blogspot.com.au/2013/10/power-meter-usage-on-rise-at-kona.html
http://alex-cycle.blogspot.com.au/2014/10/power-meter-usage-still-on-rise-at-kona.html

Without further ado, here are the numbers for 2009 through to to 2015 are (click on images to see larger versions):






In brief, 2015 continued the long term trend of an increase in use of power meters by Kona IM athletes, with a tick under half of all bikes now fitted with a power meter.

The two longest established brands, SRM and Powertap, have further fallen away in absolute numbers as well as total share dropping with Powertap suffering the biggest drop in usage, and while Quarq is still the most used meter, its absolute usage has reached a plateau and it is no longer as dominant a power meter brand for Kona IM athletes as it has been in the past few years. It will be interesting to see how Powertap fares in the years ahead with the introduction of their new pedal and chainring based meters.

The use of power meters is more evenly distributed across the various brands than in previous years, with no brand dominating share of usage on Kona IM athlete's bikes.

Newer power meter brands have increased their presence significantly, in particular Garmin Vector and especially Stages being the big movers.

Power2Max maintained their 2014 share of the power meter pie, while newer offerings from Rotor and Pioneer make up the smaller slices.

Edit:
Thanks to Prof. Hendrik Speck of Hochschule Kaiserslautern University of Applied Sciences for picking up a couple of very small errors in the Polar power meter numbers I had listed for 2009 and 2013. I have updated the table and chart above. I also left the linked posts from previous year's summaries uncorrected so that a record of the small error remains.

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Sunday, October 12, 2014

Power Meter usage still on the rise at Kona

Last year in this post I put together a chart showing the trends in power meter usage at the Kona World Ironman Championships since 2009.

Lava Magazine have once again done a complete bike and equipment count for Kona 2014, and I've been looking at the power meter part of that count. The data I have is preliminary as posted by Brad Culp of Lava Magazine. I'll post the online link with the count data when available.

2014 Kona IM Bike Count

Here's an updated chart and table for the six years from 2009 to 2014. Just click on the image to see a larger version.



In brief, we can see there has been a continuation of the strong trend in use of power meters, with 45% of all bikes now fitted with a power meter.

The two long established brands, SRM and Powertap, have fallen away a little in absolute numbers as well as total share dropping, while Quarq usage has grown again and it remains the dominant power meter brand for Kona IM athletes with more than double the usage of the next most popular brand, SRM.

Most of  the growth in total power meter usage is attributed to the use of newer power meter brands, with Power2Max, Garmin Vector and Stages being prominent in increasing the overall size of the power meter pie.

Speaking of pies, here is the 2014 breakdown in pie form:



It's interesting to note how evenly split the major power meter brands are.

What will 2015 show? I guess we'll see the number of bikes with power meters out numbering those without for the first time.

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Monday, October 14, 2013

Power meter usage on the rise at Kona

The Kona World Ironman Championships is over for another year. As part of event registration, the organisers do a count of equipment choices, and this includes power meter brand if fitted to a competitor's bike.

So just for fun, I thought I'd look at the prevalence of power meter usage by Kona competitors for the last five years, including this year. I managed, with a little help from the wattage forum and Google, to locate the data and compiled them into table and chart form. Click on the images to see a larger version.



So while competitor numbers at Kona increased by 36% over the five years 2009-2013, the number of power meters installed on competitor's bikes over that same period increased by 174%!

We can see three major power meter brands: SRM, Powertap and Quarq, have dominated the Kona power meter landscape to date, with Quarq in particular showing strong growth over this period.

Power2Max have begun to make inroads in recent years, and we can also see the emergence in 2013 of newer power meter offerings from Rotor, Stages and Garmin. The old Polar power meter is a distant memory, and ergomo usage never really got going, although a few souls were still using them up to 2012.

It appears the overall solid increase in usage of power meters by those competing at Kona has largely been satisfied by uptake of newer power meter brands. It would be risky to assume this translates directly into general market trends for power meter usage but it certainly provides a good snapshot of the trends for Ironman athletes.

The data on total bike numbers and power meter counts were obtained from these website links by Lava Magazine (2010-2013) and Triathlete Magazine (2009):

2013 Kona IM Bike Count
2012 Kona IM Bike Count
2011 Kona IM Bike Count
2010 Kona IM Bike Count
2009 Kona IM Bike Count

Links were active and  available at time of writing this post.

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Monday, February 18, 2013

Pour me a draft

Drafting in cycling is a term that refers to practice of riding in close proximity to another rider or riders ahead of them or riding behind other moving objects, such as a motor bike or other vehicle. Taking draft, riding in the slipstream, and keeping your nose out of the wind are some of the phrases used to describe this phenomenon. It even has a Wikipedia entry.

The fact that far less energy is required to ride at a given speed when behind another moving object than when you are the one pushing the wind is without dispute, and many have measured the benefits.

It's a tactic that bike racers make good use of, in order to save as much energy as possible during a race, so they can use that energy when it really matters, such as the final sprint. Often in racing it is those that are least fatigued that win, and is why teams send their workhorses to the front of the group to "do all the work". There is even an anecdotal report from Prof. Asker Jeukendrup of one professional cyclist completing a stage of the Tour de France with an average power of 98W. Now that's an impressive level of drafting skill.

In some cycling events though, drafting is akin to a bowler chucking a cricket ball down the wicket, it's just not cricket. It's against the rules to take draft in events such as individual time trials and in many forms of triathlon (e.g. Ironman) which are also solo competitor timed events. It is cheating. And when it happens it annoys the crap out of many people.

For a cycle racer, drafting is a skill, a craft to be learnt, developed and honed.
However, in time trials and non-draft triathlon, someone accused of illegal drafting usually also has their parentage questioned.

Of course there are rules that apply when two riders end up in close proximity, and usually it involves a  minimum distance the rider behind must maintain, and/or move to another side of the road, and/or pass the other rider within a set amount of time.

The minimal distance in triathlon varies depending on the event, and can be 5, 7 or 12 metres. In cycling under UCI rules, the distance between riders must be at least 25 metres and 2 metres laterally, unless of course they are passing the rider ahead. And of course support vehicles and other vehicles (e.g. TV) in cycling must remain behind the rider (a minimum of 10 metres for support vehicles). It does get tricky in the biggest races though, with police motorbike escorts clearing the crowds sometimes providing unintentional wind assistance.

In road cycling time trials, the issue of riders flaunting the drafting rules (deliberately or otherwise) is not all that common as the number of competitors in any event is usually strictly limited and each rider commences their timed ride over the fixed course at specified time intervals designed to ensure most competitors don't end up in close proximity to another. It does happen of course, but nothing like to the extent it occurs in the sport of triathlon.

Triathlon however have set themselves up for an endemic drafting problem. It's a natural consequence of a mass participation event resulting in far more riders being on the course than there is room on the road to enable everyone to obey the rules without pretty much coming to a halt. Just go to any triathlon forum and monitor the number and tone of discussion threads on drafting and passing. It's normally treated with a level of discourse usually reserved for doping topics.
A scene from a non-draft triathlon. Best of luck to those attempting to abide by or enforce the rules.

Well I'm not really intending to debate the merits or otherwise of such rules and their applicability or enforceability - but what I will do is to publish the results of an impromptu experiment to measure the impact on power of a type of drafting legally permitted in triathlon.

The outcome surprised me, and explains why the drafting rules create big problems and often result in heated exchanges between riders and officials.

The experiment

Last November, Rob (aka Fishboy - blog link) mentioned he would do some test runs at his local outdoor track, collect the power meter data and report back. I suggested he send me the power file with no notes attached, and that I would take a look to see what I could discern from the data without actually knowing what he did. All I did know was that he would do some riding behind and in front of another rider also riding at the track.

OK, so what did I find?

This is a chart tracing Rob's power and speed, with horizontal axis being distance. It's shown with 30-second averaging to make it easier to see what happened.
I have also placed several horizontal lines on the chart to help. The power lines are at 200W, 240W and 280W, and the speed lines are at 38km/h, 40km/h and 42km/h.

We can see Rob rode about 35km total, with three intervals of ~10km each, with a bit of warm up and short recovery between each interval. So on that basis I decided to examine each 10km interval in more detail. The speed and average power for each interval was a little different, which each being ~ 20W harder and 0.7 - 1km/h faster than the previous effort.

Upon closer examination, it was clear to me Rob's air resistance (apparent CdA*) varied during each 10km interval. Within each interval, there were four distinct sub-interval sections with relatively stable aerodynamics, each of approximately 2.5km in length. To see this properly requires re-plotting the data using a technique known as virtual elevation, which helps us make aerodynamic sense of what can appear to be quite noisy data. I'm not going to show those charts as there are too many, but I will summarise the results into three charts, one for each 10km interval.

In each summary of results chart I have indicated on the bottom axis where I think the start and end of each of those sub-interval sections was, and the columns show my estimated CdA for each of those sections. Note that the CdA numbers won't be absolutely correct since I am making some other global assumptions about Rob and environmental conditions, but what's important is the measured differences in apparent CdA. I may not have the absolute values exactly spot on, but the differences in the absolute values will be on the money. Here's the first summary chart:



You will see some blue and red columns, showing Rob's apparent CdA was either "low" or "high" during these sections. This can be as result for instance of being in the aero position, and then sitting upright, then back into aero again etc. But for the purpose of this exercise I know he rode with another rider on the track, and was either in front of, or behind the other rider. I didn't know how far the gap between the riders was in any of the intervals, all I am showing is the estimated difference in apparent-CdA between "leading" (red) and "drafting" (blue).

Also shown, are horizontal lines, which are the average apparent-CdA for "drafting" (blue) and "leading" (red), as well as the difference in apparent CdA between each (the fat vertical double headed arrow).

So we can see that the average difference in apparent-CdA for draft vs non-draft in the first 10km interval was 0.035m^2.

Here's the chart summarising the second 10km interval:

which shows an average difference in apparent-CdA between drafting and non-drafting of 0.033m^2, which is similar but slightly less than the difference measured in the first 10km interval.

And the third 10km interval:

which again shows a drafting benefit, but now that benefit has been reduced somewhat to 0.026m^2. There is also a slight increase in non-draft CdA in this interval compared to the first two intervals.

So in summary, the gain by drafting the other rider was a reduction in apparent-CdA of:
Interval 1: 0.035m^2
Interval 2: 0.033m^2
Interval 3: 0.026m^2

In terms of energy benefit for for Rob when drafting over leading, when riding at 40km/h this equates to wattage savings of:

Interval 1: 29W
Interval 2: 27W
Interval 3: 21W

What's interesting is that the non-draft CdA values are pretty consistent across all runs (a little higher in third interval), but that the draft-CdA values in the third 10km interval had increased somewhat more, IOW the drafting benefit had been reduced for some reason. There can be several reasons for this, such as environmental condition changes, on bike position changes due to riding at higher power and/or fatigue (creeping forward on saddle for instance), change in equipment/clothing and so on.

After I had done the analysis, Rob then revealed all the details of what he actually did - these are his words in green, although I have re-ordered some paragraphs for clarity:

The procedure was to ride sections of the interval drafting and non-drafting. It was attempted to hold a constant speed during each section (were aiming for 40kmh, but my front rider went a little slower on the first interval).
In all intervals I trailed on the first segment, then swapped to the front twice.

In all intervals I tried to hold the same aero position. This was very consistent on the first interval, but possibly less so on the final interval.


All intervals were the same draft distance +/- 0.3m, 12m front wheel to front wheel. A l
aser pointer was taped to the frame to aim at the back wheel of the rider in front for a 12m front wheel to front wheel distance. Rig checked after the session and laser was still accurate, so didn't move during the session.

The intervals got harder (3 x 10km E, M, H)

The wind went from dead calm to moderate on the H interval. Distinct head, tail and cross winds on interval 3 (the H one), possibly more than what Moorabbin airport recorded as there was a rain shower that came through with much stronger wind.

The other rider is small, ~65kg, on a very aero bike, in a good aero position. Probably 0.250m^2 or so CdA. If there was something smaller or more aero to draft off, it would be hard to find.

The BOM data for Moorabbin airport, 10km away approx was:
Date/Time EDT Tmp°C AppTmp°C DewPoint°C RelHum% Delta-T°C Wind PressQNH hPa Press MSL
hPa Rain since 9 am mm Dir Spd km/h Gust km/h Spd kts Gust kts -
08/06:00am 12.6 11.3 11.2 91 0.7 NNW 9 13 5 7 1010.6 1010.5 0.0 
08/05:45am 11.9 11.4 10.6 92 0.7 NNW 4 9 2 5 1010.5 - 0.0 
08/05:33am 11.5 11.6 10.2 92 0.7 CALM 0 0 0 0 1010.3 - 0.0 
08/05:30am 11.5 11.6 10.2 92 0.7 CALM 0 0 0 0 1010.2 - 0.0

My weight and bike 95kg.
Crr previously measured many times on this velodrome at 0.0044.
Air density pretty consistent around 1.227.

Bike is TT (P3) with H3 front, H Jet Disc rear, eKoi helmet (no vents).

Track location is Carnegie Velodrome in Packer Park just near East Boundary Rd and North Road. 363m circuit.


Anyone suggesting there is no benefit at 12m is totally incorrect, even in head, cross and tail winds on interval 3 there was close to 20w difference - which is significant. When it is calmer, there is more benefit, which makes perfect sense.

There is also a high likelihood that there could be even more benefit that could be found from a bigger test rider in front, being 3rd or 4th wheel, or being closer than 12m.


So, there we have it. Even under the 12-metre rule the power savings from drafting are quite significant, and as Rob says, if you are following a larger rider, and add more of them into the line of riders on the road ahead, one can only imagine the power demand will reduce further. Not by as much as this initial benefit of course but it all adds up.

A larger rider adhering to the 12-metre draft rule when following a single smaller rider at speeds of ~40km/h   in calm conditions gained a benefit of ~27-30W reduction in power required, and ~20W saving in moderate cross winds.

It's no wonder there are big problems with riders deciding they can go faster than the guy ahead, attempting to pass, and then being unable to maintain the pace because the power demand is still so much higher even with a 12-metre draft rule, creating all sorts of headaches for riders who find themselves stuck in drafting hell.

Aside from the drafting issue, this was a nice example of being able to correctly infer a lot from analysis of a naked power meter file, and with no specific prior knowledge of its content other than it was from a ride at a track somewhere looking to test the impact of drafting. OK, so it's not a formal scientific test, but I have to say, as a way of blinding one element of the analysis, this is a pretty cool outcome.

It's not the only time I've done this - I used this blind analysis technique to spot things like a rider's bike position changing during an event, as well as assess rider's physiological capabilities in events such as team pursuits.


Big thanks to Rob and his mate for conducting the experiment. Nice one Fishboy!

* I say an apparent-CdA, because when riding in a slipstream it's not Rob's actual CdA that changes so much, it's the air flow he is riding through that is changing. What these numbers represent is the equivalent impact of that beneficial air flow in both CdA and in wattage saving terms.

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